UPDATE: Latest GFDL model output suggests Bastardi could be right, see below.
The Case for Rapid Development Feedback of a Potential Tropical Storm: Arthur.
NASA Satellite image of the disturbance off the east coast of Florida at 8:40am.
Guest essay by Joe Bastardi, WeatherBell Analytics.
In the old days, one never had to worry about anything but hitting the forecast. But times have changed. With an agenda out there to take any weather event that attracts attention and turn into into a reason that an AGW driven atmospheric apocalypse is upon us, one has to make sure the physical grounds are stated before hand for why the event can occur.
We are faced with a potential nightmare.. a tropical cyclone coming at the outer banks on the July 4 weekend. I already have this as an 80 knot storm by July 4th, right on top of the North Carolina coast…
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